Salford City vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 0
SAL
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 0
HAV
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 2
TOW
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SOL
0 - 0
SAL
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 3
STF
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GAT
2 - 0
BRO
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
LEY
2 - 0
GAT
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
GAT
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GAT
0 - 0
SUT
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 1
GAT
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |