Saint Brice vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Brice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SBF
2 - 0
DRA
16%
19%
66%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
VTR
0 - 4
SBF
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SBF
1 - 4
FCR
5%
10%
85%
|
13 | 63 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SAI
0 - 1
GAZ
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GAZ
2 - 2
FUR
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
GAZ
1 - 2
SED
36%
29%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AUX
2 - 2
GAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GOB
1 - 0
GAZ
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |