Sagan Tosu vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
KAA
0 - 0
SAG
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SAG
2 - 1
FCY
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VIS
0 - 0
SAG
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAG
1 - 0
VVA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
URA
2 - 0
SAG
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
NAG
3 - 9
FCT
46%
23%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 2
NAG
31%
21%
49%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
NAG
2 - 2
SHO
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAG
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SHI
2 - 0
NAG
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |