Sagan Tosu vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
GAM
1 - 0
SAG
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SAG
2 - 1
VEG
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
SAG
1 - 6
VIS
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SHO
2 - 3
SAG
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SAG
1 - 0
KAR
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
URA
1 - 2
CER
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CER
2 - 1
KAW
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JUB
0 - 2
CER
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FCY
1 - 2
CER
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
CER
3 - 0
REN
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |