Sacachispas vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DAL
0 - 0
SAC
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
BEL
15%
28%
57%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RIE
2 - 0
SAC
54%
27%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 2
CAG
32%
31%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
SAC
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 0
MIT
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
ALM
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 0
IRV
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 0
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 1
MAI
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |