1. FC Saarbrücken vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
REU
2 - 1
SAA
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
SAA
1 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SAA
1 - 0
BAY
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
PFU
2 - 2
SAA
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
SAA
0 - 1
DAR
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
M05
1 - 1
EIN
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BVB
1 - 1
M05
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
M05
2 - 1
RTV
46%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MSV
0 - 0
M05
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
M05
1 - 0
S04
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |