Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-4
Sūduva vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 1
BAN
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
MAZ
0 - 0
SUD
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
KRU
0 - 1
SUD
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SUD
2 - 1
FKL
82%
14%
5%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
SUD
3 - 0
FBK
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ELF
3 - 0
ORE
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
ELF
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
ORE
0 - 3
ELF
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
ELF
4 - 0
FOL
74%
16%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
ELF
2 - 1
SYR
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |