U21 EC Qualifying Grupo C. Jor. 3

Russia U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis

Russia U21 Lithuania U21
67 ELO 41
6.4% Tilt 18.1%
1302º General ELO ranking 6743º
17º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
86.1%
Russia U21
10.4%
Draw
3.5%
Lithuania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
Russia U21
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.5%
Win probability
Lithuania U21
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Russia U21
+5%
-25%
Lithuania U21

ELO progression

Russia U21
Lithuania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Russia U21
Russia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2021
RUS
Russia U21
1 - 0
Spain U21
ESP
11%
20%
69%
66 86 20 0
03 Sep. 2021
ESP
Spain U21
4 - 1
Russia U21
RUS
73%
17%
10%
66 86 20 0
06 Jun. 2021
RUS
Russia U21
0 - 0
Serbia U21
SRB
57%
23%
21%
66 65 1 0
03 Jun. 2021
BGR
Bulgaria U21
0 - 1
Russia U21
RUS
17%
20%
63%
66 56 10 0
31 Mar. 2021
DNK
Denmark U21
3 - 0
Russia U21
RUS
56%
21%
23%
67 72 5 -1

Matches

Lithuania U21
Lithuania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2022
MLT
Malta U21
1 - 3
Lithuania U21
LTU
41%
24%
35%
39 35 4 0
25 Mar. 2022
ESP
Spain U21
8 - 0
Lithuania U21
LTU
87%
10%
3%
39 86 47 0
16 Nov. 2021
LTU
Lithuania U21
0 - 2
Slovakia U21
SVK
8%
18%
74%
40 63 23 -1
12 Nov. 2021
NIR
Northern Ireland U21
4 - 0
Lithuania U21
LTU
59%
22%
20%
41 47 6 -1
08 Oct. 2021
LTU
Lithuania U21
2 - 1
Malta U21
MLT
47%
25%
28%
41 34 7 0
X