Runcorn Town FC vs AFC Darwen analysis


27	ELO	8
8.3%	Tilt	-0.4%
20821º	General ELO ranking	30570º
956º	Country ELO ranking	1116º
ELO win probability

84.1%

Runcorn Town FC

10.2%

Draw

5.7%

AFC Darwen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

84%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%

10.2%

Draw

0-0

1.8%

1-1

4.6%

2-2

2.9%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

10.2%

5.7%

Win probability

0.78

Expected goals

0-1

1.4%

1-2

1.8%

2-3

0.8%

3-4

0.2%

4-5

0%

-1

4.1%

0-2

0.6%

1-3

0.5%

2-4

0.1%

3-5

0%

-2

1.2%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.3%

0-4

0%

1-5

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Runcorn Town FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Jul. 2017	RUN 2 - 1 DEN 19% 18% 63%	27	39	12	0
06 Aug. 2016	PON $Pontefract Collieries$ 3 - 2 RUN 42% 23% 36%	27	25	2	0
12 Jul. 2016	AIR 1 - 2 RUN 86% 10% 3%	27	59	32	0
29 Aug. 2015	RUN 2 - 3 NOR 30% 23% 47%	28	39	11	-1
15 Aug. 2015	RUN 3 - 0 BAC 84% 11% 5%	28	5	23	0