Rubio Ñu vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AME
2 - 2
RÑU
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
RÑU
3 - 2
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
LIB
4 - 2
RÑU
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 1
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
LQE
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SFE
3 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |