Rothrist vs Lenzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothrist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FCG
0 - 1
ROT
12%
16%
71%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 2
HON
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KRU
1 - 1
ROT
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 1
OLT
34%
22%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 3
DUL
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 2
DUL
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 6
LEN
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
6 - 0
JUV
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WOH
6 - 2
LEN
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PAJ
6 - 3
LEN
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |