Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 3
HOL
14%
18%
68%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
ROT
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 1
LEV
7%
16%
77%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 0
BSC
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
WIE
0 - 0
ROT
16%
25%
60%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
WUP
2 - 0
KÖL
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
KÖL
2 - 2
SPO
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
KÖL
0 - 0
VFB
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DIE
1 - 2
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
STR
0 - 2
KÖL
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |