Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
BOR
3 - 2
ROT
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ROT
1 - 4
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
ROT
4 - 1
BSC
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
LIP
2 - 4
ROT
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 3
ROT
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
KÖL
2 - 1
BER
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
KÖL
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
BOR
0 - 2
KÖL
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
KÖL
0 - 2
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
S04
1 - 0
KÖL
15%
21%
65%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |