Rot-Weiss Essen vs Duisburger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
ROT
3 - 0
ERK
70%
16%
14%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
KOL
2 - 1
ROT
81%
12%
8%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
AAA
3 - 1
ROT
47%
22%
31%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
ROT
4 - 2
ARB
78%
13%
9%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ROT
2 - 1
PRE
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Duisburger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
HAM
3 - 1
DUI
81%
12%
8%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
DUI
1 - 4
S04
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUI
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
DUI
1 - 1
KOL
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
DUI
2 - 1
DFV
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |