Rot-Weiss Essen vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ROT
1 - 0
PRE
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
HOL
4 - 3
ROT
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ROT
4 - 0
HAM
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
WUP
2 - 0
ROT
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 0
SGD
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
HOL
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 0
CHE
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 2
WUP
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
2 - 0
CHE
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 2
STP
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |