Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
OFC
1 - 1
ERF
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ERF
3 - 2
WEH
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
BAY
1 - 1
ERF
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ERF
2 - 1
KAI
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SSV
3 - 0
ERF
53%
23%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
VFR
1 - 0
BNE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
BAY
2 - 0
VFR
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
OFC
1 - 1
VFR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
VFR
3 - 0
WEH
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
VFR
2 - 3
KAI
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |