Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 5-1
Roma vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 1
FIO
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 2
ROM
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ROM
5 - 0
RCA
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BET
5 - 2
ROM
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 3
ROM
9%
19%
72%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 1
SIV
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 2
ROM
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
YEN
1 - 5
TRA
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
MFK
1 - 1
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 3
MFK
40%
24%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |