Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ROM
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 3
ROM
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 0
LEC
73%
16%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
ROM
20%
23%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
ROM
1 - 3
BAS
58%
21%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAT
0 - 0
FIO
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 0
EMP
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |