Rochdale vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 1
NEW
10%
18%
72%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
STA
1 - 2
ROC
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
GIL
1 - 0
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 3
FLE
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BUR
3 - 1
ROC
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 4
BUR
18%
24%
57%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 1
STF
23%
28%
49%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SUN
0 - 0
BOL
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BOL
3 - 2
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
POS
1 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |