Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 0-1
Rivadavia Venado Tuerto vs Atlético Carcarañá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rivadavia Venado Tuerto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CAC
0 - 0
SRI
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SRI
2 - 3
ADI
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -3 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TFE
2 - 4
SRI
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SRI
2 - 1
PSM
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 1
SRI
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Carcarañá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CAC
0 - 0
SRI
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SMO
2 - 2
CAC
44%
22%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAC
3 - 1
SMO
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAC
3 - 2
HDD
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAA
1 - 0
CAC
24%
21%
56%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |