Rio Preto vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 0
RIO
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIO
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
4 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TAU
3 - 3
RIO
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
VEL
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |