Riachuelo vs Sete de Junho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
AMA
1 - 1
RFC
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
RFC
3 - 0
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PIR
7 - 1
RFC
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 2
RFC
73%
15%
11%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
RFC
1 - 2
CON
12%
18%
70%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Sete de Junho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
SER
4 - 1
SDJ
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SDJ
0 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
SDJ
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SDJ
3 - 2
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 2
SDJ
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |