Perwez vs Ciney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
49.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
RFC
9 - 1
MON
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Ciney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 0
MES
82%
12%
7%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CIN
9 - 4
FLA
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MOL
3 - 3
CIN
8%
13%
79%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 3
LOY
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FEH
1 - 2
CIN
9%
12%
80%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | +1 |