Resende vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 3
RES
93%
5%
2%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
RES
3 - 1
AME
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
TIG
1 - 3
RES
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RES
1 - 2
DUQ
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
RES
1 - 3
VAS
12%
18%
70%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
FRI
1 - 5
BOT
10%
19%
71%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
4 - 1
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 2
VOL
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | -1 |