Recreativo vs Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
REC
2 - 0
NUM
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
LEG
0 - 2
REC
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
REC
3 - 0
ELC
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 2
REC
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
REC
1 - 2
TER
61%
23%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 0
CIU
34%
29%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CIU
0 - 1
ALA
22%
24%
53%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
GET
2 - 2
CIU
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
CIU
3 - 1
MAL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ALM
2 - 3
CIU
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |