Recreativo vs Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 2
REC
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
REC
22%
29%
49%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
REC
1 - 0
BAL
51%
28%
22%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SEV
1 - 2
REC
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
REC
1 - 0
TAL
53%
28%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SEV
2 - 1
VIL
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
MEL
27%
30%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAL
2 - 4
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALM
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |