Real Zaragoza vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2022 |
OVI
3 - 3
ZAR
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 3
ALC
55%
27%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
EIB
2 - 0
ZAR
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 0
BUR
53%
28%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
HUE
1 - 1
ZAR
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 3
FUE
49%
27%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
IBI
1 - 1
LUG
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
CDT
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 0
LEG
30%
29%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
LUG
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |