Real Zaragoza vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
RSO
3 - 0
ZAR
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RAC
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
FCB
2 - 1
ZAR
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
ZAR
3 - 2
CAS
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
SPO
1 - 2
ZAR
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATM
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAD
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
ATM
2 - 0
RSO
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATM
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |