Sporting Atlético vs Llanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
2º
40
2º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 3
SPB
12%
23%
65%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SPB
1 - 0
VAL
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
SPB
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AST
1 - 2
SPB
28%
27%
45%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SPB
1 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 4
RTI
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 0
LLA
15%
23%
61%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
UPL
4 - 1
LLA
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
3 - 1
PRA
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |