Real Murcia vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
MAL
1 - 0
MUR
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALM
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
JUM
1 - 2
MUR
25%
27%
48%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
UCA
38%
29%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
MUR
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
CDB
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
MEL
27%
30%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MEL
4 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SEV
0 - 0
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
REC
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |