Real Jaén vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CDL
0 - 0
RJA
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
AGD
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 2
RJA
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 1
RJA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
RJA
2 - 0
CPC
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 2
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
JER
2 - 0
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 0
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
CDB
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 3
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |