Real Cartagena vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 2
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
CUC
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HUI
3 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
JUN
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
IND
3 - 3
MIL
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |