Real Cartagena vs Deportivo Rionegro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
AME
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Rionegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 0
RIO
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
COR
0 - 1
RIO
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
AME
2 - 2
RIO
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |