Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
GIM
2 - 0
AVI
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
AVI
2 - 0
BAR
45%
27%
27%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
AVI
4 - 1
CAN
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
LEM
0 - 0
AVI
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
AVI
4 - 0
BAÑ
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
TOL
3 - 1
SMA
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
BAS
3 - 0
TOL
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
CDO
1 - 2
TOL
77%
17%
6%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAU
38%
28%
34%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
ATH
5 - 0
TOL
88%
10%
3%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | 0 |