Reading vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
LUT
0 - 0
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
WAT
2 - 0
REA
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
REA
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
QPR
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SWA
2 - 2
WYC
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SHW
0 - 2
SWA
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 3
SWA
29%
27%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
PNE
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |