Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
GET
1 - 1
RAY
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
RAY
2 - 1
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EIB
1 - 0
RAY
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
RAY
3 - 0
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FCB
5 - 2
RAY
92%
6%
2%
|
82 | 98 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
AUG
2 - 3
ATH
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
ATH
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ATH
2 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
ATH
5 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BET
1 - 3
ATH
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |