Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs. 1/32
Global 4-2
Rampla Juniors vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rampla Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 1
JUN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
DEF
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 1
JUN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 0
JUN
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 3
NAC
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 3
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
4 - 0
UTC
52%
28%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 0
JUN
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
UTC
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |