Europa League Group D Round 2

Raków Częstochowa vs Sturm Graz analysis

Raków Częstochowa Sturm Graz
77 ELO 81
4.9% Tilt -4.2%
763º General ELO ranking 548º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.8%
Raków Częstochowa
23.9%
Draw
38.3%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
Raków Częstochowa
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.3%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Raków Częstochowa
+20%
+8%
Sturm Graz

ELO progression

Raków Częstochowa
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
RAK
Raków Częstochowa
3 - 0
Radomiak Radom
RAD
46%
26%
28%
77 77 0 0
28 Sep. 2023
LPO
Lech Poznań
4 - 1
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
44%
27%
29%
78 78 0 -1
24 Sep. 2023
RCH
Ruch Chorzów
3 - 5
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
31%
29%
40%
78 70 8 0
21 Sep. 2023
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 0
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
91%
7%
2%
78 91 13 0
16 Sep. 2023
RAK
Raków Częstochowa
1 - 0
LKS Lódz
LKS
64%
22%
15%
78 70 8 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
WSG Tirol
WAT
47%
24%
29%
81 78 3 0
27 Sep. 2023
LEO
Leobendorf
0 - 3
Sturm Graz
STR
6%
12%
82%
81 47 34 0
24 Sep. 2023
RAP
Rapid Wien
1 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
43%
24%
33%
81 81 0 0
21 Sep. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
20%
22%
58%
80 89 9 +1
16 Sep. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
2 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
40%
24%
36%
81 81 0 -1