Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
RAK
2 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
RAK
1 - 1
LKS
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
GKS
0 - 0
RAK
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
POD
0 - 0
RAK
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
MVS
0 - 4
RAK
8%
14%
78%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
POG
3 - 0
LPO
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LPO
2 - 1
KOR
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
GÓR
2 - 2
LPO
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LPO
2 - 1
MIE
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
LKS
0 - 1
LPO
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |