Rain / Lech vs Rosenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
UNT
1 - 0
RAI
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
RAI
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
RAI
0 - 1
EIN
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
ERB
1 - 1
RAI
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 0
RAI
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rosenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2011 |
ROS
0 - 2
SEL
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 0
BUC
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WUR
0 - 2
ROS
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
0 - 5
ROS
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ISM
0 - 1
ROS
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +2 |