Racing vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
RSO
2 - 1
RAC
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
RAC
5 - 5
ALB
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
CDT
2 - 0
RAC
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
RAC
2 - 1
SLA
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
COM
2 - 0
RAC
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1996 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATH
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
RAY
2 - 2
ATH
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
2 - 3
ZAR
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
0 - 0
RSO
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |