Racing vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
BUR
0 - 1
RAC
50%
22%
28%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
RAC
1 - 1
GIR
81%
12%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
TER
1 - 0
RAC
43%
23%
34%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
RAC
2 - 1
CAU
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SPO
4 - 0
RAC
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
GIR
3 - 0
ALA
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
ALA
3 - 2
TER
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
CAU
3 - 0
ALA
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ALA
3 - 3
SPO
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SSC
2 - 2
ALA
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |