Racing Montevideo vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 3
RAC
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 0
ETS
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 2
CER
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
RAC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 2
PLA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 0
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 1
RIV
30%
25%
46%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FEN
3 - 0
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 0
FEN
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 1
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |