Racing Ferrol vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
UPL
2 - 3
RCF
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RCF
2 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NUM
3 - 1
RCF
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
RCF
1 - 0
UPL
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
RCF
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NUM
3 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
NUM
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NUM
3 - 1
RCF
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
NUM
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NUM
5 - 0
COV
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |