Puyal vs Alera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BIO
3 - 2
PUY
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PUY
3 - 1
LUN
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PUY
3 - 4
PRA
59%
20%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 1
PUY
74%
15%
12%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 1
PUY
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 1
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UNC
5 - 0
ALE
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALE
5 - 0
REM
30%
22%
48%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 2
BIO
28%
21%
51%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VAL
8 - 4
ALE
85%
10%
5%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |