PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
GAE
0 - 5
PSV
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
PSV
3 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1995 |
BRE
0 - 0
PSV
41%
25%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
PSV
1 - 2
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
NEC
0 - 5
PSV
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 2
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 0
RJC
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 1
RKC
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
NAC
4 - 0
VOL
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
TWE
0 - 3
NAC
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |