Championship Round 38

Preston North End vs Southampton analysis

Preston North End Southampton
73 ELO 65
25.5% Tilt 5.8%
981º General ELO ranking 321º
35º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
81.6%
Preston North End
11.9%
Draw
6.5%
Southampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
Preston North End
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.5%
Win probability
Southampton
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Preston North End
-10%
-2%
Southampton

ELO progression

Preston North End
Southampton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 1928
REA
Reading
2 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
32%
24%
45%
74 62 12 0
07 Apr. 1928
NOT
Notts County
6 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
40%
24%
36%
75 63 12 -1
06 Apr. 1928
PNE
Preston North End
4 - 0
Reading
REA
79%
12%
10%
74 62 12 +1
31 Mar. 1928
PNE
Preston North End
5 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
80%
12%
8%
74 62 12 0
24 Mar. 1928
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
2 - 4
Preston North End
PNE
69%
17%
14%
73 76 3 +1

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 1928
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
2 - 1
Southampton
SOU
81%
12%
7%
64 74 10 0
09 Apr. 1928
SOU
Southampton
3 - 2
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
43%
24%
34%
63 75 12 +1
07 Apr. 1928
SOU
Southampton
2 - 0
Hull City
HUL
63%
21%
16%
63 65 2 0
31 Mar. 1928
FUL
Fulham
1 - 0
Southampton
SOU
59%
22%
18%
63 58 5 0
24 Mar. 1928
SOU
Southampton
6 - 1
Barnsley
BAR
54%
22%
24%
62 64 2 +1