Série D Brazil Etapas Finales. Quarter-finals

Global 3-0

Pouso Alegre vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis

Pouso Alegre ASA Arapiraquense
55 ELO 46
-12.7% Tilt -14.3%
3574º General ELO ranking 4135º
116º Country ELO ranking 140º
ELO win probability
57.2%
Pouso Alegre
24.7%
Draw
18.1%
ASA Arapiraquense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
Pouso Alegre
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.1%
Win probability
ASA Arapiraquense
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pouso Alegre
-21%
+23%
ASA Arapiraquense

ELO progression

Pouso Alegre
ASA Arapiraquense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pouso Alegre
Pouso Alegre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2022
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
0 - 2
Pouso Alegre
POA
33%
28%
39%
54 48 6 0
13 Aug. 2022
POA
Pouso Alegre
1 - 0
Paraná
PAR
45%
28%
27%
53 53 0 +1
07 Aug. 2022
PAR
Paraná
1 - 1
Pouso Alegre
POA
43%
28%
29%
53 53 0 0
30 Jul. 2022
POA
Pouso Alegre
2 - 0
Operário Ltda
LTD
55%
25%
20%
52 46 6 +1
24 Jul. 2022
LTD
Operário Ltda
0 - 0
Pouso Alegre
POA
29%
28%
43%
53 46 7 -1

Matches

ASA Arapiraquense
ASA Arapiraquense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2022
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
0 - 2
Pouso Alegre
POA
33%
28%
39%
48 54 6 0
14 Aug. 2022
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
0 - 0
Rio Branco Acre
RIO
73%
18%
9%
48 33 15 0
08 Aug. 2022
RIO
Rio Branco Acre
0 - 0
ASA Arapiraquense
ASA
16%
24%
61%
48 32 16 0
31 Jul. 2022
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
2 - 0
Afogados
AFO
62%
22%
16%
48 42 6 0
23 Jul. 2022
AFO
Afogados
1 - 2
ASA Arapiraquense
ASA
35%
26%
39%
47 42 5 +1
X