Portuguesa Santista vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 0
POR
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BER
2 - 3
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
POR
23%
25%
53%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
BER
53%
26%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
SAO
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
BER
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |