Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
POR
31%
25%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
POR
3 - 3
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 2
POR
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 1
POR
11%
19%
70%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 3
POR
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
WAR
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CLI
4 - 0
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 1
INS
74%
16%
11%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |